Supporters of the Magpies are progressively seeing their manager's squad as a fickle companion. At their brilliant best, they can be the very entertainers, unleashing high-octane exhibitions. Yet, in other matches, once-dependable figures like Sandro Tonali and his teammates simply do not show up.
Exacerbating these problems is a second-half game management suffused by a distinct tendency of panic. Ahead of their holiday fixture to Old Trafford, the numbers reveal a sobering story: the team has dropped thirteen precious Premier League points from leading positions this term and are without a clean sheet in ten straight matches in every tournament. Earning a win at their famous stadium would constitute only their second-ever league triumph on the travel this season.
On the flip side, a loss has only come on one occasion in their previous six league fixtures, and despite sitting in a modest 11th place, they are a mere 6 points behind the highly-prized top four. Factor in an impending two-part League Cup semi-final against Manchester City and a decent chance of moving on to the European Cup last 16, and it becomes easier to see the manager's cautious positivity.
“Our issues aren't limited to problems,” stated the club's manager. “There are assets as well. My glass is firmly half full currently. I know outside observers could have a opposing view, but in my view we are making progress.”
The question persists: can this squad recreate – or perhaps eclipse – the achievements of the previous campaign's cup glory and fifth-place standing? Juggling a hectic fixture list makes this difficult.
The resulting fatigue may explain the inability to uphold a superb first-half showing against Chelsea, ultimately squandering a two-goal lead to draw 2-2. Similarly, it could be the culprit for a poor performance in a damaging loss to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the side seemed lethargic just days after a grueling European excursion.
While coaching is undoubtedly the manager's strength, the constant schedule of twice-weekly football has severely reduced crucial practice hours. This hinders the team's tactical evolution to operating with summer signing Nick Woltemade leading the line, rather than the departed their former star. Although immensely gifted, Woltemade lacks the equivalent searing breakaway speed or ferocious pressing.
In fact, the team's previously effective high press has at times malfunctioned. Fitness issues to key component the Brazilian midfielder have exacerbated matters, while expensive signings the Swedish winger and Jacob Ramsey have struggled adapting after their big-money moves.
If a switch to a back three could theoretically benefit the team, a severe defensive absence list renders that problematic. Key defenders will be absent for the next crucial matches, straining the team's resilience.
At their ferocious peak, they look almost unplayable. The problem is maintaining that level for the full 90 minutes. The often-seen plan B of dropping deep into a deep-lying defensive formation has at times proven self-destructive.
“That match descended into disorganized at two-all,” conceded the coach. “However the intention was going for the victory. We always go out to secure the three points.”
What seems called for is a balanced approach – involving better ball retention, a midfield adept of dictating the tempo, and a sensible readiness to occasionally accept a draw. Yet, a determination to challenge on every fronts is testing finite squad resources to their breaking point.
It may seem unthinkable to some, but a different strategy in the cup competitions in the initial stages could have eased the present schedule congestion. With critical Champions League and Premier League games on the agenda, the imperative to strategically choose focus areas is becoming increasingly obvious.
Eddie Howe acknowledged the size of the challenge remaining. “Being at a club of this size, the demands are big. Each game is pivotal. There is progress to be made in the Premier League. We are in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, we want to go through in the Champions League and do well in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the correct path, but we have a great deal of work to do to transform into the consistently successful team we envision. The ability to string together sequences of victories has deserted us so far.
“The challenge is to attain that standard we are aware we're capable of. My feeling is that the self-belief we can do that is growing. But nowadays we have to demonstrate it. It ain't all bad currently, but the next few weeks will shape a great deal.”
Elena Voss is a seasoned journalist and editor with over a decade of experience in digital media, specializing in global affairs and tech trends.